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Red14
458518.4
321612.1
43487.5
Blue12
15669.9
324530.7
300926.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35790501001501412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4585
#30
18.42.3
17.214.9
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3245
#11
30.74.9
30.325.4
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
3216
#45
12.12.3
11.99.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 14.6
3009
#12
26.74.9
29.624.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4348
#51
7.52.3
14.312.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1566
#50
9.94.9
14.910.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0