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Red40
417514.2
281316.2
243723.0
Blue40
324322.7
415828.9
133922.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437301001504040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2437
#13
23.00.7
25.424.7
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 5.9
4158
#18
28.91.9
30.028.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
2813
#33
16.20.7
14.513.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 6.5
1339
#28
22.71.9
22.320.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
4175
#44
14.20.7
9.48.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 8.4
3243
#29
22.71.9
18.416.5
Auto0.8
Teleop21.9
End0.0