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Red109
161962.5
479214.3
415310.6
Blue50
156939.4
259418.1
300614.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7055020408010012014016010950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.53.5
45.448.9
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 23.1
39.40.2
38.137.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
4792
#38
14.33.5
14.417.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 3.9
2594
#41
18.10.2
12.812.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4153
#52
10.63.5
10.213.7
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3006
#53
14.00.2
8.48.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0