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Red74
431011.6
133922.7
66240.5
Blue85
458518.4
300926.7
141027.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686202040801001201407485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#6
40.50.8
35.836.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
1410
#19
27.01.4
26.027.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
1339
#28
22.70.8
20.321.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3009
#12
26.71.4
24.726.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4310
#48
11.60.8
13.213.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 6.8
4585
#30
18.41.4
14.916.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0