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Qual 762015 Utah Regional
Red172
161962.5
328917.8
417514.2
Blue137
324530.7
19246.0
507117.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65690100200300400172137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#2
62.57.5
48.9→56.4
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 16.5
192
#7
46.03.3
34.2→37.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
3289
#27
17.87.5
10.6→18.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3245
#11
30.74.8
25.4→30.2
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
4175
#44
14.27.5
8.7→16.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5071
#34
17.44.8
11.2→16.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0