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Qual 772015 Utah Regional
Red78
455030.4
459815.6
259418.1
Blue19
189119.3
426811.2
243723.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526101001502007819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#14
30.42.5
25.7→28.1
Auto0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
2437
#13
23.03.1
24.7→21.6
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2594
#41
18.12.5
12.5→15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1891
#31
19.33.1
23.2→20.1
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
4598
#39
15.62.5
17.6→20.0
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
4268
#42
11.23.1
14.1→10.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0