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Qual 142015 Virginia Regional
Red33
108621.4
325812.2
175817.2
Blue2
21076.0
45386.2
190815.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351706080100332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#34
21.40.9
12.5→13.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
1908
#31
15.21.0
8.8→7.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1758
#24
17.20.7
14.1→14.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
4538
#44
6.21.0
4.3→3.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
3258
#30
12.20.9
7.2→8.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
2107
#64
6.01.0
7.4→6.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0