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Qual 152015 Virginia Regional
Red11
337314.5
37098.9
335910.3
Blue94
34224.9
128727.5
54259.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242060801001201401601194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#29
14.51.2
11.6→10.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 13.0
1287
#2
27.53.3
12.0→15.2
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
3359
#40
10.31.2
7.6→6.4
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
342
#8
24.93.3
22.4→25.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
3709
#43
8.91.2
6.6→5.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5425
#33
9.84.4
6.3→10.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0