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Qual 162015 Virginia Regional
Red6
29886.4
31684.4
5398.8
Blue46
205324.8
103312.5
189519.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2339050100150200646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#53
8.81.7
11.3→9.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 16.0
2053
#9
24.80.7
14.0→14.7
Auto0.5
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
2988
#52
6.41.7
6.9→5.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 13.2
1895
#16
19.60.7
13.0→13.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
3168
#63
4.41.7
7.7→6.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1033
#25
12.50.7
10.5→11.2
Auto0.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0