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Qual 172015 Virginia Regional
Red31
299814.2
161022.3
54030.4
Blue43
55465.5
393919.2
34621.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30370501001502002503143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#4
30.40.1
10.9→10.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
346
#21
21.90.3
19.8→20.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
1610
#36
22.30.1
14.1→14.0
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
3939
#20
19.20.4
10.8→11.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
2998
#28
14.20.1
7.5→7.3
Auto1.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 8.7
5546
#59
5.50.4
7.0→7.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0