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Qual 192015 Virginia Regional
Red10
54129.4
471410.6
33923.3
Blue29
572412.0
6196.4
15996.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282004060801029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#11
23.31.5
12.5→11.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
5724
#35
12.00.6
7.0→7.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
4714
#50
10.61.5
6.0→4.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
1599
#54
6.80.6
8.6→9.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
Third
5412
#47
9.41.5
8.9→7.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
619
#60
6.40.6
6.4→7.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0