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Red0
6174.9
345514.9
154111.3
Blue11
336113.6
44665.9
38437.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310102040011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#37
14.91.8
10.89.1
Auto0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 22.3
384
#3
37.21.8
15.513.7
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
1541
#57
11.31.8
12.911.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3361
#26
13.61.8
6.24.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
617
#62
4.91.8
9.37.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4466
#61
5.91.8
10.99.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.9
End0.0