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Qual 212015 Virginia Regional
Red0
32749.5
40114.1
4229.9
Blue20
179315.7
236326.7
210612.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3038050100150200020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#22
14.11.8
12.5→10.7
Auto0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2363
#32
26.71.5
18.7→17.2
Auto1.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
422
#45
9.92.0
12.5→10.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1793
#27
15.71.5
9.7→8.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3274
#51
9.52.7
7.1→4.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2106
#23
12.61.5
9.8→8.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0