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Qual 232015 Virginia Regional
Red47
171912.1
348919.2
428611.8
Blue25
189519.6
113718.5
337314.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36350102030405060704725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#14
19.20.7
15.0→15.6
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1895
#16Sur
19.61.1
13.7→12.6
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1719
#49Sur
12.11.0
11.2→12.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1137
#18
18.51.1
13.9→12.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4286
#38
11.81.0
8.9→9.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3373
#29
14.51.1
10.4→9.3
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0