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Qual 242015 Virginia Regional
Red4
307219.6
55465.5
61110.7
Blue31
21076.0
126222.7
6196.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734050100150200250431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3072
#12Sur
19.61.1
10.5→9.4
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
1262
#10
22.70.3
20.8→20.6
Auto0.7
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
611
#55
10.71.1
11.0→9.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
619
#60
6.40.3
7.0→6.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
5546
#59
5.51.1
7.4→6.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2107
#64Sur
6.00.3
6.3→6.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0