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Red85
572412.0
33923.3
54030.4
Blue53
336113.6
103312.5
54259.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29250102040506070808553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#4
30.44.6
10.715.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 16.9
3361
#26
13.62.2
4.46.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
339
#11
23.34.6
11.115.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 10.8
1033
#25
12.52.2
11.213.4
Auto0.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5724
#35
12.04.6
7.612.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
5425
#33
9.82.2
10.813.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0