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Red46
337314.5
38813.8
33923.3
Blue98
307219.6
38437.2
210612.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634204060804698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#11
23.30.8
15.716.5
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 13.9
384
#3
37.25.2
15.020.3
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
3373
#29
14.50.8
9.310.1
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3072
#12
19.65.2
9.414.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
388
#41
13.80.8
11.712.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.3
2106
#23
12.65.2
10.615.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0