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Qual 462015 Virginia Regional
Red73
202816.9
189519.6
34621.9
Blue77
527915.3
108621.4
128727.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801007377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#21
21.91.2
19.6→20.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1287
#2
27.51.9
17.6→19.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
1895
#16
19.62.0
14.1→16.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1086
#34
21.43.2
11.2→14.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
2028
#19
16.91.2
14.9→16.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
5279
#17
15.33.2
9.2→12.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0