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Red35
5398.8
175817.2
348919.2
Blue60
299814.2
307219.6
15996.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4225060801003560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#14
19.20.0
14.814.8
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3072
#12
19.62.6
14.717.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
1758
#24
17.20.0
15.015.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 3.0
2998
#28
14.22.6
6.28.8
Auto1.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
539
#53
8.80.0
11.111.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
1599
#54
6.82.6
7.710.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0