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Qual 512015 Virginia Regional
Red38
40114.1
54259.8
113718.5
Blue11
10957.4
54129.4
154111.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801003811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#18
18.50.1
12.8→12.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 7.2
1541
#57
11.31.7
9.9→8.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Second
401
#22
14.10.1
13.8→13.8
Auto0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 4.7
5412
#47
9.41.7
10.2→8.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5425
#33
9.80.1
10.3→10.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
1095
#58
7.41.7
11.4→9.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0