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Qual 522015 Virginia Regional
Red22
61110.7
325812.2
12217.6
Blue34
161022.3
33923.3
31684.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343301020405060702234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#15
17.61.0
14.5→13.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
339
#11
23.30.1
16.5→16.4
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
3258
#30
12.21.0
9.9→8.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1610
#36
22.30.1
13.8→13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
611
#55
10.71.0
9.9→8.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
3168
#63
4.40.1
4.9→4.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0