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Qual 592015 Virginia Regional
Red8
189519.6
6174.9
32749.5
Blue30
24026.2
54259.8
173127.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254406080100120140160830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#16
19.61.8
16.1→14.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1731
#7
27.41.1
25.3→24.2
Auto1.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
3274
#51
9.51.8
4.4→2.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5425
#33
9.81.1
10.4→9.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
617
#62
4.91.8
8.8→7.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2402
#56
6.21.1
7.3→6.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0