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Qual 602015 Virginia Regional
Red34
345514.9
108621.4
496913.3
Blue23
572412.0
61110.7
5398.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333101020405060703423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#34
21.40.0
14.4→14.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 9.4
5724
#35
12.00.8
12.4→11.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
3455
#37
14.90.0
7.4→7.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
611
#55
10.70.8
8.9→8.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
4969
#42
13.30.0
12.2→12.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
539
#53
8.80.8
11.1→10.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0