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Red22
4229.9
190815.2
12217.6
Blue66
348919.2
393919.2
54129.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343220304050602266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#15
17.61.1
13.412.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3489
#14
19.21.6
14.816.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
1908
#31
15.21.1
9.68.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3939
#20
19.22.7
10.613.3
Auto0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
422
#45
9.90.6
11.811.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
5412
#47
9.42.7
8.511.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0