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Red3
103312.5
202816.9
15996.8
Blue28
126222.7
40114.1
38813.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543206080100328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#19
16.91.8
16.114.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1262
#10
22.71.6
19.918.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
1033
#25
12.53.0
18.215.2
Auto0.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
401
#22
14.10.9
13.812.9
Auto0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
1599
#54
6.83.0
10.37.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
388
#41
13.81.6
13.211.6
Auto0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0