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Qual 642015 Virginia Regional
Red59
325812.2
34224.9
161022.3
Blue52
38327.5
448131.2
38728.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4844102030406070805952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#8
24.90.5
26.3→26.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4481
#6
31.20.5
19.5→20.0
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
1610
#36
22.30.8
13.7→14.5
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
383
#5
27.50.5
21.1→21.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
3258
#30
12.20.8
8.8→9.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
3872
#46
8.10.5
5.7→6.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.1
End0.0