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Qual 682015 Virginia Regional
Red82
205324.8
40114.1
12217.6
Blue87
345514.9
189519.6
428611.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223060801008287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#9
24.83.5
15.1→18.6
Auto0.5
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
1895
#16
19.65.0
14.3→19.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
122
#15
17.63.5
12.4→15.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
3455
#37
14.95.0
7.4→12.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
401
#22
14.12.1
12.9→15.0
Auto0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
4286
#38
11.85.0
5.3→10.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0