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Red44
34224.9
210612.6
54129.4
Blue6
45386.2
103312.5
34621.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53370206080100120446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#8
24.90.4
26.826.4
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
346
#21
21.91.7
21.820.1
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
2106
#23
12.60.7
14.113.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Level
1033
#25
12.52.9
15.212.3
Auto0.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5412
#47
9.40.7
11.110.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
4538
#44
6.22.9
4.01.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.0