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Red41
29886.4
173127.4
307219.6
Blue34
325812.2
154111.3
572412.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801001204134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.1
24.224.1
Auto1.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 15.2
3258
#30
12.20.2
9.79.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
3072
#12
19.60.1
18.017.9
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 7.6
5724
#35
12.00.2
11.611.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
2988
#52
6.40.1
6.26.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1541
#57
11.30.2
10.010.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0