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Red0
15996.8
21076.0
44665.9
Blue61
337314.5
202816.9
448131.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18500406080100120140061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#54
6.82.0
7.35.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 24.4
31.21.2
20.021.1
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
2107
#64
6.02.0
8.56.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 10.9
2028
#19
16.90.7
14.415.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4466
#61
5.92.0
8.26.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3373
#29
14.51.2
12.513.7
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0