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Qual 742015 Virginia Regional
Red78
348919.2
179315.7
126222.7
Blue66
161022.3
152221.6
496913.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801007866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#10
22.72.6
18.4→20.9
Auto0.7
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
1610
#36
22.32.2
14.5→16.7
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
3489
#14
19.21.6
16.4→18.0
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1522
#13
21.62.2
13.3→15.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
1793
#27
15.72.6
12.2→14.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
4969
#42
13.32.2
12.2→14.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0