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Red20
6174.9
171912.1
40114.1
Blue103
128727.5
393919.2
45386.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36352030405060708010020103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#22
14.10.9
15.014.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 13.4
27.53.3
22.625.9
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
1719
#49
12.11.4
15.414.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3939
#20
19.25.5
13.318.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
617
#62
4.91.4
7.05.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4538
#44
6.25.1
1.06.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.0