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Qual 762015 Virginia Regional
Red46
335910.3
159814.0
189519.6
Blue42
154111.3
6196.4
299814.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4525060801001201404642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#16
19.60.2
19.3→19.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 5.4
2998
#28
14.21.0
13.2→14.2
Auto1.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
1598
#39
14.00.2
13.8→14.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 2.7
1541
#57
11.31.0
10.2→11.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
3359
#40
10.30.2
10.1→10.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.9
619
#60
6.41.0
5.3→6.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0