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Qual 772015 Virginia Regional
Red70
527915.3
12217.6
307219.6
Blue106
448131.2
32749.5
54030.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46453040506070809070106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3072
#12
19.61.8
17.9→19.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 11.6
4481
#6
31.24.6
21.1→25.8
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
122
#15
17.61.8
15.8→17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 12.8
540
#4
30.44.6
20.3→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
5279
#17
15.31.8
13.6→15.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
3274
#51
9.54.6
4.9→9.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0