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Qual 782015 Virginia Regional
Red54
15996.8
428611.8
236326.7
Blue29
34621.9
29886.4
61110.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534010203040506070805429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#32
26.71.5
19.0→20.5
Auto1.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 4.8
346
#21
21.90.2
20.1→20.3
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
4286
#38
11.81.5
10.3→11.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
611
#55
10.70.4
10.3→10.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
1599
#54
6.81.5
5.3→6.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
2988
#52
6.40.4
6.1→6.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0