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Red48
54259.8
115636.3
210612.6
Blue77
345514.9
202816.9
348919.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6041020801001201401604877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.9
35.334.4
Auto1.1
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 17.1
3489
#14
19.21.6
18.019.6
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
2106
#23
12.60.9
13.512.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
2028
#19
16.91.6
15.116.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5425
#33
9.80.9
10.69.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3455
#37
14.92.5
12.414.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0