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Red60
189925.6
574821.0
406018.1
Blue72
142523.3
94839.1
568319.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38800501001502006072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.7
14.014.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 13.5
948
#2
39.10.2
30.830.6
Auto9.2
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
21.00.7
14.515.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1425
#14
23.30.2
22.021.8
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4060
#19
18.10.7
17.418.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5683
#16
19.20.2
23.323.1
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0