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Red102
292922.4
298018.5
357437.9
Blue59
339329.7
446125.4
378613.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4958010015020025010259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.5
28.030.4
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 8.2
3393
#11
29.70.0
29.929.9
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
22.42.5
13.415.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
25.40.0
15.215.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
2980
#10
18.52.5
11.113.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 5.2
3786
#25
13.30.0
13.713.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0