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Red71
189925.6
446125.4
294210.3
Blue84
290612.9
94839.1
378613.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3560020801001201401607184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.6
15.817.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 13.5
948
#2
39.11.3
33.434.7
Auto9.2
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
25.41.6
18.920.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 12.1
3786
#25
13.31.3
12.513.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
2942
#20
10.31.6
5.26.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2906
#24
12.91.3
12.513.8
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0