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Red68
125820.2
45798.6
378116.6
Blue118
357437.9
32199.4
252251.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288505010015020068118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1258
#12
20.21.5
15.617.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 31.2
51.42.0
38.940.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Second
3781
#17
16.61.5
11.613.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 21.3
37.92.0
28.630.6
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Third
4579
#29
8.61.5
10.512.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3219
#27
9.42.0
11.213.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0