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Red85
29279.3
446932.5
339329.7
Blue36
294210.3
430415.9
323715.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632902040801001208536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.2
25.226.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 16.6
4304
#21
15.90.3
14.114.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
3393
#11
29.71.2
27.528.8
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 13.9
3237
#22
15.80.3
14.815.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2927
#23
9.31.2
7.79.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2942
#20
10.30.3
6.77.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0