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Red22
29279.3
378116.6
378613.3
Blue4
430415.9
558818.5
498013.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500100150200224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3781
#17
16.60.7
13.112.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5588
#13
18.51.6
18.617.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
3786
#25
13.30.7
13.813.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4304
#21
15.91.6
14.412.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
2927
#23
9.30.7
9.08.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4980
#30
13.31.6
15.613.9
Auto1.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0