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Red111
357437.9
189925.6
298018.5
Blue74
125820.2
323715.8
255519.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6249020408010012014011174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.4
30.633.0
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 17.7
1258
#12
20.21.1
17.118.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
25.62.4
17.820.2
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
2555
#18
19.91.1
20.621.6
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
2980
#10
18.52.4
13.916.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
3237
#22
15.81.1
15.116.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.1
End0.0