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Red12
322122.5
36849.7
45798.6
Blue48
568319.2
574821.0
446125.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33650501001502001248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3221
#15
22.51.3
20.118.8
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
25.40.7
22.221.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
3684
#26
9.71.3
6.85.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 11.2
21.00.7
17.616.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
4579
#29
8.61.3
12.010.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 10.6
5683
#16
19.20.7
22.321.6
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0