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Red146
252251.4
189925.6
36034.0
Blue56
339329.7
558818.5
322122.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915905010015020014656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.43.1
42.745.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 21.6
3393
#11
29.70.2
30.530.3
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
360
#3
34.03.1
26.329.5
Auto0.1
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 11.5
3221
#15
22.50.2
18.818.5
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
25.63.1
20.223.3
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 7.1
5588
#13
18.50.2
17.016.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0