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Red30
125820.2
568319.2
298018.5
Blue14
32199.4
30499.5
339329.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801001203014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1258
#12
20.21.5
20.018.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3393
#11
29.71.9
30.428.5
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
5683
#16
19.21.5
20.919.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 9.7
3049
#28
9.51.9
11.49.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
2980
#10
18.51.5
19.317.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 9.1
3219
#27
9.41.9
10.68.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0