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Red36
290612.9
255519.9
142523.3
Blue53
498013.3
357437.9
45798.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56552040801003653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#14
23.30.7
24.323.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
37.90.3
36.336.0
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
2555
#18
19.90.7
18.718.0
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 6.6
4980
#30
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2906
#24
12.90.7
13.612.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.3
4579
#29
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0