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Red16
294210.3
378116.6
32199.4
Blue40
298018.5
322122.5
30499.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102030405060701640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3781
#17
16.60.9
14.213.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3221
#15
22.50.1
15.916.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
2942
#20
10.30.9
6.45.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
2980
#10
18.50.1
10.310.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3219
#27
9.40.9
13.612.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3049
#28
9.50.1
10.911.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0