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Red85
558818.5
255519.9
446125.4
Blue71
189925.6
339329.7
323715.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475801001502002503008571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.7
13.515.3
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3393
#11
29.70.9
29.430.3
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
2555
#18
19.91.7
18.420.1
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
25.60.9
11.812.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
5588
#13
18.51.7
18.420.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 2.6
3237
#22
15.80.9
17.418.3
Auto0.7
Teleop15.1
End0.0