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Red102
446932.5
357437.9
255519.9
Blue76
339329.7
189925.6
36849.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8656010015010276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.3
36.136.4
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 8.2
3393
#11
29.70.2
28.929.2
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
32.50.3
30.630.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 6.9
25.60.2
24.825.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
2555
#18
19.90.3
18.118.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 10.2
3684
#26
9.70.2
8.99.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.5
End0.0